Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Bolivia

Bolivia is 21st most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 13th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 14th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 9 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

One of Bolivia's 9 crop regions has never looked worse than it does today.

Three instruments, 9 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

1 of 9 regions at their own record

Bolivia: 0.51 standard deviations above normal

Oruro. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Beni. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Potosi. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026La Paz. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Santa Cruz. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tarija. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pando. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Chuquisaca. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cochabamba. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 9 regions at their own record

Bolivia: 71% of crop water need met, normally 62%

Oruro. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Beni. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Potosi. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026La Paz. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Santa Cruz. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tarija. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pando. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Chuquisaca. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cochabamba. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 9 regions at their own record

Bolivia: 0.36 standard deviations above normal

Oruro. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Beni. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Potosi. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026La Paz. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Santa Cruz. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tarija. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pando. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Chuquisaca. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cochabamba. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 14th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 9
Vegetation, current1of 9
Water satisfaction0of 9
Rainfall, 3-month0of 9
Temperature0of 9

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

21st worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 21st most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, while water satisfaction is in their best third and rainfall is in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.1714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4522nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction71%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1517th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature22.5 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Bolivia, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterOruroBeniPotosiLa PazPandoTarijaSanta CruzChuquisacaCochabamba

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Oruro

-0.78 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.782nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.60lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction25%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3317th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature5.7 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Beni

-0.63 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.636th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.9026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction80%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.4217th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.0 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Potosi

-0.54 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.5410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.648th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction18%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.3225th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature12.6 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

La Paz

-0.08 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0811th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.3126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction89%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.4815th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.3 °C20th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Pando

+0.01 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0117th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0515th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction68%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.5510th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature25.6 °C14th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Tarija

+0.04 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0415th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.2226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction72%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.5821st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature14.2 °C22nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Santa Cruz

+0.18 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1814th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4020th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction72%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0215th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.4 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Chuquisaca

+0.50 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5021st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction51%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.7526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature14.1 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Cochabamba

+0.89 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0718th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction34%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.2726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature15.9 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com