Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Canada

Canada is 24th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 26th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 18th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 10 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Canada is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 10 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 10 regions at their own record

Canada: 1.08 standard deviations above normal

British Columbia. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Québec. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Manitoba. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Newfoundland. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nova Scotia. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Alberta. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ontario. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026New Brunswick. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Prince Edward. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Saskatchewan. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 10 regions at their own record

Canada: 78% of crop water need met, normally 73%

British Columbia. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Québec. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Manitoba. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Newfoundland. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nova Scotia. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Alberta. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ontario. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026New Brunswick. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Prince Edward. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Saskatchewan. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 10 regions at their own record

Canada: 0.47 standard deviations above normal

British Columbia. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Québec. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Manitoba. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Newfoundland. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nova Scotia. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Alberta. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ontario. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026New Brunswick. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Prince Edward. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Saskatchewan. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 19th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 10
Vegetation, current0of 10
Water satisfaction0of 10
Rainfall, 3-month0of 10
Temperature0of 10

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowingalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balancealready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

Nothing we can show. The driver is not identified here. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

24th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 24th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.2319th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction78%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3520th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.6 °C17th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Canada, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterBritish ColumbiaQuébecNewfoundlandManitobaNova ScotiaOntarioAlbertaPrince EdwardNew BrunswickSaskatchewan

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

British Columbia

-0.33 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.338th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0414th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction78%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3119th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.7 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Québec

-0.22 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.229th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1312th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.1 °C21st highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Newfoundland

-0.18 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.1812th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.903rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.1 °C23rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Manitoba

-0.04 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0411th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.2826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction74%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.0 °C19th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Nova Scotia

+0.05 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0513th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.536th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.1 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ontario

+0.06 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0616th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5225th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction85%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1514th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature20.5 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Alberta

+0.15 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1516th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction76%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7424th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.3 °C17th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Prince Edward

+0.20 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2017th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1719th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction88%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2412th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature19.5 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

New Brunswick

+0.23 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2317th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0013th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction83%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.666th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.5 °C17th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Saskatchewan

+0.47 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4722nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.3026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction76%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2518th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.4 °C17th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com