Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Cuba

Cuba is 4th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 1st steepest fall of 26, but from the 1st highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 14 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

Two of Cuba's 14 crop regions have never looked worse than they do today.

Three instruments, 14 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

2 of 14 regions at their own record

Cuba: 0.16 standard deviations below normal

Ciego De Avila. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Guantanamo. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Holguin. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Villa Clara. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Camaguey. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cienfuegos. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Granma. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Isla Juventud. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026La Habana. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Las Tunas. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matanzas. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pinar Del Rio. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sancti Spiritus. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Santiago De Cuba. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

5 of 14 regions at their own record

Cuba: 89% of crop water need met, normally 96%

Ciego De Avila. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Guantanamo. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Holguin. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Villa Clara. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Camaguey. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cienfuegos. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Granma. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Isla Juventud. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026La Habana. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Las Tunas. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matanzas. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pinar Del Rio. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sancti Spiritus. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Santiago De Cuba. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

2 of 14 regions at their own record

Cuba: 1.01 standard deviations below normal

Ciego De Avila. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Guantanamo. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Holguin. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Villa Clara. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Camaguey. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cienfuegos. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Granma. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Isla Juventud. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026La Habana. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Las Tunas. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matanzas. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pinar Del Rio. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sancti Spiritus. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Santiago De Cuba. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here and it disagrees with these three. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 26th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels because it is close to normal, so it renders almost blank, and an empty map looks like a missing one. Stated here rather than dropped silently, since without it these panels look worse than the full picture.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 14
Vegetation, current2of 14
Water satisfaction5of 14
Rainfall, 3-month2of 14
Temperature3of 14

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

4th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 4th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, while water satisfaction and rainfall are in their worst third.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+1.2726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.1111th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction89%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.99lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Cuba, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterPinar Del RioCiego De AvilaGuantanamoIsla JuventudHolguinVilla ClaraCamagueyLa HabanaLas TunasSancti SpiritusMatanzasGranmaSantiago De CubaCienfuegos

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Pinar Del Rio

+0.78 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.625th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction85%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.136th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.6 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ciego De Avila

+0.86 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.73lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction87%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.38lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.1 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Guantanamo

+0.91 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.9124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.15lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction83%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.7 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Isla Juventud

+0.93 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.9326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3018th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction94%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.188th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature29.2 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Holguin

+1.09 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.0924th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction84%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.817th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.0 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Villa Clara

+1.22 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.2225th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.622nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction87%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.025th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.4 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Camaguey

+1.29 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.2926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.337th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.855th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.2 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

La Habana

+1.31 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.3126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2518th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction88%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.344th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.4 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Las Tunas

+1.32 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.3226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4220th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction81%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.213rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.2 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sancti Spiritus

+1.45 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.4526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0813th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.31lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.7 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Matanzas

+1.53 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.5326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0916th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction95%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.918th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.4 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Granma

+1.60 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.6026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4019th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction92%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0912th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Santiago De Cuba

+1.62 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.6226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0713th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.499th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.6 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Cienfuegos

+1.81 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.8126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction94%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.974th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.0 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com