Eritrea is 2nd most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 4th steepest fall of 26, but from the 16th highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 5 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.
No crop region in Eritrea is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.
Three instruments, 5 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.
Vegetation, current
0 of 5 regions at their own record
Eritrea: 0.95 standard deviations below normal
Water satisfaction
3 of 5 regions at their own record
Eritrea: 87% of crop water need met, normally 98%
Rainfall, 3-month
5 of 5 regions at their own record
Eritrea: 2.39 standard deviations below normal
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.
A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 4th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.
Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 5
Vegetation, current0of 5
Water satisfaction3of 5
Rainfall, 3-month5of 5
Temperature5of 5
What moved, and when
Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.
Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows
The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.
These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.
How bad is it, against this
country’s own record
Five instruments read together
our combination, not an observation
2nd worst
of 26 years at this point in the season
The 2nd most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together
Every input is measured against its own record, but no source publishes this average. It is our combination, not an observation.
This value places the country against itself, so it does not rank countries against each other. Its year-to-year spread here is 0.26, and that spread differs by place, so a higher value elsewhere can be a less unusual year than this one. The rank is the comparable figure.
A reading of conditions to date. It carries no statement about the rest of the season.
What the instruments say
The canopy is in its worst third, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.
Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.
Vegetation, cumulative-0.684th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.884th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction87%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.21lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.7 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for
this point in the season. They are shown together because they can
disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water
or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page
reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.
Every region of Eritrea, worst to least
Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.
Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.
Maekel
-1.05
3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.
Vegetation, cumulative-1.053rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.322nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction83%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.17lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature21.4 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
same dekad, 2001-2025
Gash Barka
-0.70
5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.
Vegetation, cumulative-0.705th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.894th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction83%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.01lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
same dekad, 2001-2025
Debub
-0.65
2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.
Vegetation, cumulative-0.652nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.843rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.47lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature20.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
same dekad, 2001-2025
Anseba
-0.43
6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.
Vegetation, cumulative-0.436th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction86%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.10lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature22.6 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
same dekad, 2001-2025
Semenawi K.B.
-0.08
11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0811th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.2311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction68%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.85lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
same dekad, 2001-2025
This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what
stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not
separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.