Crops · dekad 2026-07-21

Ethiopia

2 of 12 crop regions in Ethiopia are at their worst on record for this point in the season. Its highest in any previous year was 4, on a recent average of 0.42.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

worst on record of 26 years at this point in the season

The most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, while water satisfaction and rainfall are in their worst third.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative-0.1211th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.80lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction85%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.42lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature20.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they disagree: across the regions on this site, roughly a quarter have vegetation at a record low while water or rainfall sits in its best third. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Ethiopia, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterTigrayAfarNo nameAmharaAddis AbabaDire DawaGambelaOromiaSomaliSNNPRBeneshangul GumuHareri

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Tigray

-1.41 lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-1.64lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.04lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature20.2 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Afar

-1.24 lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-1.25lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction76%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.662nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature28.8 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

No name

-0.98 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, current-1.242nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.38lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature19.4 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Amhara

-0.71 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-1.10lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-2.11lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature17.2 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Addis Ababa

-0.52 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-0.963rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.912nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature15.1 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Dire Dawa

-0.00 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-1.43lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction60%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.832nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature21.4 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Gambela

+0.06 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-0.632nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3413th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature25.4 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Oromia

+0.32 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-0.673rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction94%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.33lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature17.3 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Somali

+0.33 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-0.1312th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction38%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.885th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature23.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

SNNPR

+0.48 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current-0.783rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction95%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.875th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature18.3 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Beneshangul Gumu

+1.03 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current+0.1818th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.626th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature20.6 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Hareri

+1.14 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, current+0.0714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction74%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.762nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad yet.
Temperature22.9 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com