Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Iraq

Iraq is 19th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 17th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 15th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 18 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Iraq is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 18 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 18 regions at their own record

Iraq: 0.31 standard deviations above normal

Sulaymaniyah. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Basrah. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Missan. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Diyala. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Qadissiya. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Baghdad. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dahuk. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Salah al-Din. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ninewa. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Thi-Qar. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Najaf. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Erbil. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kirkuk. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Anbar. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Babil. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Muthanna. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kerbala. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wassit. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 18 regions at their own record

Iraq: 7% of crop water need met, normally 6%

Sulaymaniyah. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Basrah. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Missan. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Diyala. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Qadissiya. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Baghdad. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dahuk. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Salah al-Din. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ninewa. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Thi-Qar. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Najaf. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Erbil. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kirkuk. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Anbar. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Babil. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Muthanna. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kerbala. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wassit. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 18 regions at their own record

Iraq: 0.68 standard deviations above normal

Sulaymaniyah. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Basrah. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Missan. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Diyala. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Qadissiya. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Baghdad. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dahuk. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Salah al-Din. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ninewa. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Thi-Qar. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Najaf. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Erbil. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kirkuk. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Anbar. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Babil. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Muthanna. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kerbala. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wassit. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 18th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 18
Vegetation, current0of 18
Water satisfaction0of 18
Rainfall, 3-month0of 18
Temperature0of 18

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowingalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

19th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 19th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.2518th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction7%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.6920th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature36.3 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Iraq, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterBasrahSulaymaniyahMissanNinewaQadissiyaDiyalaThi-QarDahukKirkukErbilBaghdadBabilNajafSalah al-DinAnbarWassitMuthannaKerbala

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Basrah

-0.07 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0712th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0219th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction2%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0813th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature41.7 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sulaymaniyah

-0.04 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.049th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6223rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction12%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.4922nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature31.4 °C14th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Missan

-0.01 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1717th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction4%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature41.3 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ninewa

+0.06 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0617th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0615th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction7%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.5023rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature34.7 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Qadissiya

+0.11 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1114th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0914th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction0%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.5619th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature40.4 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Diyala

+0.18 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1814th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1315th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1718th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature38.6 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Thi-Qar

+0.20 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2017th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2019th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction1%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2717th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature41.1 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Dahuk

+0.21 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2116th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5425th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction25%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.7024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.7 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kirkuk

+0.27 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2719th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1718th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction2%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature36.6 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Erbil

+0.31 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3119th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction17%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.4723rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature31.0 °C12th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Baghdad

+0.35 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3515th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1314th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3416th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature39.5 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Babil

+0.36 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3620th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3319th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction2%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2519th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature40.0 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Najaf

+0.37 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3718th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3616th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction0%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0619th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature40.3 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Salah al-Din

+0.53 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5316th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4117th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction8%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2017th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature38.5 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Anbar

+0.57 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5720th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4118th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction1%17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0118th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature37.5 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Wassit

+0.77 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7724th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction2%17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3019th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature39.9 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Muthanna

+0.89 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8923rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8222nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction0%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2221st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature40.7 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kerbala

+1.01 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.0124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0224th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction1%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature39.7 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com