Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Jordan

Jordan is 13th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 22nd of 26 by fall steepness, from the 20th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 10 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Jordan is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 10 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 10 regions at their own record

Jordan: 0.20 standard deviations below normal

Balqa. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Irbid. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ma'an. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Aqaba. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tafiela. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jarash. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zarqa. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ajloon. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mafraq. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Madaba. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

1 of 10 regions at their own record

Jordan: 7% of crop water need met, normally 6%

Balqa. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Irbid. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ma'an. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Aqaba. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tafiela. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jarash. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zarqa. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ajloon. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mafraq. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Madaba. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

2 of 10 regions at their own record

Jordan: 0.01 standard deviations below normal

Balqa. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Irbid. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ma'an. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Aqaba. not measuredTafiela. not measuredJarash. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zarqa. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ajloon. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mafraq. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Madaba. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 15th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 10
Vegetation, current0of 10
Water satisfaction1of 10
Rainfall, 3-month2of 8
Temperature0of 10

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowingalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

13th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 13th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, while water satisfaction is in their best third and rainfall is in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.0515th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.248th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction7%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1016th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.3 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Jordan, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterBalqaAqabaMa'anIrbidTafielaZarqaJarashAjloonMafraqMadaba

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Balqa

-0.96 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.964th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.884th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction3%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2123rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.6 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Aqaba

-0.83 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.838th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction2%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedRainfall, 3-month is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.0 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ma'an

-0.81 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.817th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.285th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction9%26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.069th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.9 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Irbid

-0.54 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.545th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.473rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.5716th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.5 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Tafiela

-0.51 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.5111th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.4111th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedRainfall, 3-month is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.0 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Zarqa

+0.20 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2015th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.1711th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction1%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.25lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.5 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Jarash

+0.21 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2115th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.5710th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction22%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.5619th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.6 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ajloon

+0.40 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4016th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.3824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction28%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3319th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.6 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Mafraq

+1.00 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.0023rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8423rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction8%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.2 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Madaba

+3.25 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+3.2526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5722nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction17%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.30lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature33.1 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com