Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan is 25th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 23rd of 26 by fall steepness, from the 2nd highest starting level of those 26. None of its 8 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Kyrgyzstan is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 8 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 8 regions at their own record

Kyrgyzstan: 0.40 standard deviations above normal

Bishkek. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Osh. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Batken. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ysyk-Kol. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Chuy. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Talas. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jalal-Abad. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Naryn. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 8 regions at their own record

Kyrgyzstan: 46% of crop water need met, normally 40%

Bishkek. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Osh. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Batken. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ysyk-Kol. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Chuy. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Talas. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jalal-Abad. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Naryn. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 8 regions at their own record

Kyrgyzstan: 2.10 standard deviations above normal

Bishkek. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Osh. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Batken. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ysyk-Kol. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Chuy. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Talas. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jalal-Abad. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Naryn. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 25th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 8
Vegetation, current0of 8
Water satisfaction0of 8
Rainfall, 3-month0of 8
Temperature8of 8

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balancealready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

25th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 25th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.9925th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3823rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction46%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.9326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Kyrgyzstan, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterBishkekYsyk-KolBatkenOshChuyNarynJalal-AbadTalas

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Bishkek

-0.33 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.337th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.852nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction39%12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.3524th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.3 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ysyk-Kol

+0.70 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7023rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3120th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction60%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.6124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.0 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Batken

+0.80 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8023rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0412th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction32%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.2625th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Osh

+0.81 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8122nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.477th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction41%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.4826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.4 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Chuy

+0.91 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.9124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4122nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction44%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.6324th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.3 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Naryn

+1.23 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.2325th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.6626th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction55%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.8323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.9 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Jalal-Abad

+1.27 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.2725th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0213th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction39%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.4226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Talas

+1.38 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.3824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.1926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction45%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.6825th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.6 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com