Crops · dekad 2026-09-01

Madagascar

Madagascar is 6th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 16th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 22nd highest starting level of those 26. None of its 6 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 6
Vegetation, current3of 6
Water satisfaction1of 6
Rainfall, 3-month0of 6
Temperature0of 6

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

Nothing we can show. The driver is not identified here. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 25 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

6th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 6th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its worst third, while water satisfaction and rainfall are in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative-0.258th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.395th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction42%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1413th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.9 °C9th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 66 of the 440 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in seven. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Madagascar, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterAntsirananaToamasinaToliaraFianarantsoaAntananarivoMahajanga

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Antsiranana

-1.49 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-1.492nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.72lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7821st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.3 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Toamasina

-0.70 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.703rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.78lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction78%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.0 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Toliara

-0.49 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.495th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4722nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction29%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.792nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature22.5 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Fianarantsoa

-0.18 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.1810th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.93lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction83%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0412th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature20.3 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Antananarivo

-0.05 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.059th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.376th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction35%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0414th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature15.7 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Mahajanga

+0.17 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1718th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.399th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction26%12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2713th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.2 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com