Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

New Zealand

New Zealand is 19th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 6th steepest fall of 26, but from the 5th highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 14 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

Four of New Zealand's 14 crop regions have never looked worse than they do today.

Three instruments, 14 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

4 of 14 regions at their own record

New Zealand: 0.06 standard deviations below normal

Wanganui. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wellington. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hawke's Bay. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Taranaki. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Northland. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Auckland. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bay Of Plenty. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Waikato. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Canterbury. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Westland. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026East Cape. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Otago. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Southland. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nelson. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 14 regions at their own record

New Zealand: 100% of crop water need met, normally 99%

Wanganui. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wellington. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hawke's Bay. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Taranaki. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Northland. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Auckland. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bay Of Plenty. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Waikato. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Canterbury. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Westland. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026East Cape. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Otago. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Southland. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nelson. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

1 of 14 regions at their own record

New Zealand: 0.11 standard deviations below normal

Wanganui. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wellington. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hawke's Bay. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Taranaki. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Northland. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Auckland. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bay Of Plenty. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Waikato. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Canterbury. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Westland. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026East Cape. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Otago. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Southland. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nelson. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 18th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 14
Vegetation, current4of 14
Water satisfaction0of 14
Rainfall, 3-month1of 14
Temperature0of 14

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

Nothing we can show. The driver is not identified here. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

19th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 19th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, while water satisfaction is in their best third and rainfall is in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.2018th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0411th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0114th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature7.5 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of New Zealand, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterWellingtonWanganuiNorthlandBay Of PlentyTaranakiAucklandHawke's BayWaikatoWestlandCanterburyOtagoEast CapeSouthlandNelson

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Wellington

-0.74 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.748th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.92lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.993rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature8.3 °C12th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Wanganui

-0.65 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.654th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.675th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.793rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature8.7 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Northland

-0.15 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.1512th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.02lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.757th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature11.8 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Bay Of Plenty

-0.09 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0913th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.544th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0514th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature9.9 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Taranaki

-0.07 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0711th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2217th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.60lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature10.3 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Auckland

-0.04 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0413th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.92lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.862nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature11.2 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Hawke's Bay

+0.04 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.99lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.748th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature8.4 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Waikato

+0.14 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1416th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.463rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.412nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature9.7 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Westland

+0.22 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2217th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3018th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0813th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature7.1 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Canterbury

+0.25 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2517th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3716th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature7.3 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Otago

+0.28 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2820th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2519th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.4517th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature5.8 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

East Cape

+0.34 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3420th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.742nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0511th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature9.6 °C14th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Southland

+0.49 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4922nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5722nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.612nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature5.9 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Nelson

+0.52 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5224th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0914th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature7.3 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com