The Long Swell

Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Nigeria

Nigeria is 13th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 24th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 18th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 32 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Nigeria is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 32 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 32 regions at their own record

Nigeria: 0.35 standard deviations above normal

Niger. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kaduna. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lagos. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kwara. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Adamawa. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026FCT - Abuja. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Plateau. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bauchi. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nassarawa. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Taraba. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Gombe. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kogi. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kano. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Oyo. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jigawa. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kebbi. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Yobe. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Borno. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Rivers. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Delta. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Anambra. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ekiti. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ogun. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Benue. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ebonyi. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Enugu. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zamfara. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cross River. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Edo. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Katsina. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ondo. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sokoto. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

1 of 32 regions at their own record

Nigeria: 96% of crop water need met, normally 97%

Niger. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kaduna. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lagos. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kwara. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Adamawa. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026FCT - Abuja. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Plateau. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bauchi. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nassarawa. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Taraba. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Gombe. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kogi. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kano. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Oyo. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jigawa. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kebbi. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Yobe. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Borno. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Rivers. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Delta. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Anambra. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ekiti. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ogun. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Benue. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ebonyi. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Enugu. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zamfara. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cross River. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Edo. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Katsina. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ondo. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sokoto. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 32 regions at their own record

Nigeria: 0.09 standard deviations above normal

Niger. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kaduna. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lagos. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kwara. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Adamawa. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026FCT - Abuja. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Plateau. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bauchi. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Nassarawa. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Taraba. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Gombe. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kogi. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kano. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Oyo. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jigawa. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kebbi. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Yobe. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Borno. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Rivers. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Delta. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Anambra. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ekiti. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ogun. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Benue. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ebonyi. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Enugu. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zamfara. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Cross River. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Edo. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Katsina. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ondo. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sokoto. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units. Rivers is unshaded on water satisfaction: its crop water need has been met in every year of the baseline, so there is no spread to measure this year against.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 13th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 32
Vegetation, current0of 32
Water satisfaction1of 32
Rainfall, 3-month0of 32
Temperature3of 32

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowingalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

13th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 13th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative-0.0513th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1114th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.9 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Nigeria, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterNigerKwaraLagosKadunaFCT - AbujaAdamawaNassarawaTarabaPlateauBauchiKogiGombeOyoYobeKanoKebbiJigawaBornoRiversBenueEbonyiOgunDeltaAnambraCross RiverEkitiEnuguEdoZamfaraKatsinaSokotoOndo

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Niger

-1.18 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-1.183rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1215th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.7 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kwara

-0.96 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.965th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.437th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction92%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0115th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.6 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Lagos

-0.91 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.914th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1818th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.5226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.4 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kaduna

-0.84 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.844th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1416th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.8323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.9 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

FCT - Abuja

-0.83 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.837th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.3011th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.4621st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.0 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Adamawa

-0.80 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.807th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.964th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.4225th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.4 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Nassarawa

-0.55 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.558th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1517th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3117th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.3 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Taraba

-0.39 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.399th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0814th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction95%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.0225th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.6 °C12th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Plateau

-0.39 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.397th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2220th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2320th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.6 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Bauchi

-0.29 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.298th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0416th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0211th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.5 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kogi

-0.26 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.2610th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1015th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.7 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Gombe

-0.24 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.2410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0911th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2217th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.8 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Oyo

-0.06 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0613th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.177th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0814th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.7 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Yobe

+0.00 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0016th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0116th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0710th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.3 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kano

+0.01 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6920th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1211th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.4 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kebbi

+0.04 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0415th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2419th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction95%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.282nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.7 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Jigawa

+0.16 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1614th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4717th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.7 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Borno

+0.24 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2418th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2519th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0610th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.7 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Rivers

+0.37 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3719th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8221st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.157th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.8 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Benue

+0.60 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5820th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.5 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ebonyi

+0.65 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6524th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7125th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.4311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.2 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ogun

+0.65 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6523rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8425th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.9021st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.3 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Delta

+0.69 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.4325th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.988th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.3 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Anambra

+0.75 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7522nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4421st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.868th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.3 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Cross River

+0.77 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5823rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.4721st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.3 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ekiti

+0.83 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8323rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction90%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1414th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.2 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Enugu

+0.86 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8625th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.7710th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.9 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Edo

+0.94 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.9426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.4312th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.3 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Zamfara

+1.35 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.3525th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.8026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0516th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.8 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Katsina

+1.39 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.3926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+2.1026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction95%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1312th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.4 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sokoto

+1.98 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.9826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+2.6526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction88%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.382nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.4 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ondo

+2.42 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+2.4226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8325th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction94%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2413th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.2 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com