Crops · dekad 2026-10-21

Pakistan

Pakistan is 18th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 25th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 8th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 5 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 5
Vegetation, current0of 5
Water satisfaction0of 5
Rainfall, 3-month0of 5
Temperature0of 5

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 25 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

18th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 18th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, while water satisfaction and rainfall are in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.6525th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction45%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.4316th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.4 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 37 of the 238 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in six. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Pakistan, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterBalochistanSindhPunjabKhyber P.Islamabad

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Balochistan

+0.05 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0515th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5723rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction7%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1612th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.4 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sindh

+0.33 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3319th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction7%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.299th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.7 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Punjab

+0.74 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7424th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0626th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction45%17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3417th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.6 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Khyber P.

+1.04 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.0426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.3426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction68%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.6620th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature20.0 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Islamabad

+1.07 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.0726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.5426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.5924th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature20.1 °C12th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com