Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Poland

Poland is 12th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 25th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 22nd highest starting level of those 26. None of its 16 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Poland is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 16 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 16 regions at their own record

Poland: 0.54 standard deviations above normal

Lubeiskie. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lodzkie. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Podkarpackie. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kujawsko P.. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mazowieckie. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Opolskie. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dolnoslaskie. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pomorskie. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Warminsko M.. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lubuskie. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Slaskie. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zachodnio. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Malopolske. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Podlaskie. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wielkopolskie. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Swietokrzyskie. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

2 of 16 regions at their own record

Poland: 65% of crop water need met, normally 78%

Lubeiskie. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lodzkie. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Podkarpackie. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kujawsko P.. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mazowieckie. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Opolskie. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dolnoslaskie. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pomorskie. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Warminsko M.. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lubuskie. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Slaskie. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zachodnio. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Malopolske. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Podlaskie. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wielkopolskie. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Swietokrzyskie. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

1 of 16 regions at their own record

Poland: 0.23 standard deviations below normal

Lubeiskie. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lodzkie. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Podkarpackie. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kujawsko P.. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mazowieckie. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Opolskie. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dolnoslaskie. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Pomorskie. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Warminsko M.. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lubuskie. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Slaskie. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Zachodnio. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Malopolske. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Podlaskie. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Wielkopolskie. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Swietokrzyskie. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 9th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 16
Vegetation, current0of 16
Water satisfaction2of 16
Rainfall, 3-month1of 16
Temperature0of 16

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

Nothing we can show. The driver is not identified here. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

12th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 12th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its worst third, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative-0.039th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction65%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.169th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.5 °C20th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Poland, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterLubeiskiePodkarpackieLodzkieKujawsko P.PomorskieOpolskieWarminsko M.MazowieckieDolnoslaskieZachodnioLubuskieSlaskieMalopolskePodlaskieWielkopolskieSwietokrzyskie

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Lubeiskie

-0.51 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.514th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.358th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction58%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.263rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.0 °C21st highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Podkarpackie

-0.43 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.436th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0114th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction50%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.72lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature20.0 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Lodzkie

-0.35 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.356th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8524th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction58%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2513th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.9 °C20th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kujawsko P.

-0.26 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.268th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.3026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction63%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3014th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.0 °C23rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Pomorskie

-0.18 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.1810th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction78%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3614th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.3 °C23rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Opolskie

-0.15 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.158th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction62%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.764th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.8 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Warminsko M.

-0.08 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0811th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction83%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.0724th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.0 °C24th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Mazowieckie

-0.07 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.078th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.1125th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction59%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0212th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.3 °C21st highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Dolnoslaskie

-0.03 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.039th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1512th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction66%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.317th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.2 °C17th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Zachodnio

+0.08 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0815th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3620th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction67%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.519th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.7 °C22nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Lubuskie

+0.16 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1614th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5821st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction57%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.508th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.1 °C20th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Slaskie

+0.17 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1715th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5019th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction68%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.596th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.6 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Malopolske

+0.28 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2817th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction71%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.744th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.5 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Podlaskie

+0.34 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3418th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.9426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction71%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3618th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.9 °C21st highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Wielkopolskie

+0.45 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4519th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.9624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction62%8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1613th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature18.6 °C22nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Swietokrzyskie

+0.55 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5521st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1415th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction65%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3510th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature19.5 °C18th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com