Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Senegal

Senegal is 8th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 3rd steepest fall of 26, but from the 9th highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 14 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Senegal is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 14 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 14 regions at their own record

Senegal: 0.32 standard deviations below normal

Kaolack. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matam. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Fatick. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sedhiou. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kaffrine. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Diourbel. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kolda. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Thies. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Louga. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dakar. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Saint louis. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tambacounda. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ziguinchor. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kedougou. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 14 regions at their own record

Senegal: 96% of crop water need met, normally 93%

Kaolack. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matam. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Fatick. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sedhiou. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kaffrine. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Diourbel. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kolda. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Thies. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Louga. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dakar. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Saint louis. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tambacounda. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ziguinchor. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kedougou. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 14 regions at their own record

Senegal: 0.05 standard deviations below normal

Kaolack. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matam. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Fatick. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sedhiou. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kaffrine. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Diourbel. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kolda. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Thies. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Louga. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dakar. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Saint louis. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tambacounda. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Ziguinchor. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kedougou. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 10th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 14
Vegetation, current0of 14
Water satisfaction0of 14
Rainfall, 3-month0of 14
Temperature3of 14

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

8th worst (joint) of 26 years at this point in the season

The joint 8th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together, level with 2016

2016202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative-0.1510th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.329th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0913th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.9 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Senegal, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterKaolackKaffrineSedhiouMatamFatickDiourbelLougaThiesKoldaDakarSaint louisTambacoundaKedougouZiguinchor

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Kaolack

-0.77 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.775th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.955th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction100%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.3 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kaffrine

-0.54 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.5410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.669th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1914th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.7 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sedhiou

-0.49 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.498th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.715th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1014th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.3 °C9th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Matam

-0.45 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.456th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.595th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1110th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.3 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Fatick

-0.33 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.338th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.049th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.8 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Diourbel

-0.14 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.1414th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.349th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction92%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.038th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.1 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Louga

+0.07 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0716th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0712th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction94%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.7 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Thies

+0.09 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0915th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.1012th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction93%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0910th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kolda

+0.10 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1014th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.1411th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.3017th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.5 °C9th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Dakar

+0.30 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3017th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2417th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction87%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1412th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature28.7 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Saint louis

+0.36 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3618th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2214th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction77%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2013th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature30.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Tambacounda

+0.47 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4720th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3217th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.0612th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.9 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kedougou

+0.67 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6722nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction98%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.203rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.3 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Ziguinchor

+0.74 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7421st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction99%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1112th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.5 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com