Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Somalia

Somalia is 14th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 25th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 15th highest starting level of those 26. None of its 13 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Somalia is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 13 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 13 regions at their own record

Somalia: 0.81 standard deviations above normal

Juba Dhexe. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Awdal. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Juba Hoose. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sanaag. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Togdheer. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Woqooyi Galbeed. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bakool. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hiraan. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Shabelle Dhexe. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Shabelle Hoose. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bay. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Gedo. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Banadir. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 13 regions at their own record

Somalia: 37% of crop water need met, normally 35%

Juba Dhexe. 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Awdal. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Juba Hoose. 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sanaag. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Togdheer. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Woqooyi Galbeed. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bakool. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hiraan. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Shabelle Dhexe. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Shabelle Hoose. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bay. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Gedo. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Banadir. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

1 of 13 regions at their own record

Somalia: 0.10 standard deviations below normal

Juba Dhexe. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Awdal. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Juba Hoose. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sanaag. 7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Togdheer. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Woqooyi Galbeed. lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bakool. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hiraan. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Shabelle Dhexe. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Shabelle Hoose. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bay. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Gedo. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Banadir. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 18th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 13
Vegetation, current0of 13
Water satisfaction0of 13
Rainfall, 3-month1of 13
Temperature5of 13

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Soil moisturethis dekadalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 monthsalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowingalready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balancealready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

14th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 14th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, while water satisfaction and rainfall are in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.3618th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7723rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction37%16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1913th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.9 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Somalia, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterJuba DhexeAwdalWoqooyi GalbeedSanaagTogdheerJuba HooseBakoolHiraanShabelle DhexeBayShabelle HooseGedoBanadir

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Juba Dhexe

-0.66 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.665th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.4111th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction49%8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.272nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.2 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Awdal

-0.43 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.438th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction36%2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.182nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.2 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Woqooyi Galbeed

-0.39 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.3913th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.864th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction26%3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.97lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.2 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sanaag

-0.26 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.2611th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.1814th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction28%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.687th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature21.4 °C19th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Togdheer

-0.23 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.2311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.508th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction15%5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.104th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.7 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Juba Hoose

-0.19 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.1910th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0216th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction45%6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.844th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.5 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Bakool

-0.03 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0314th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.1423rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction18%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.6713th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.4 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Hiraan

+0.02 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0214th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6819th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction15%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.3 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Shabelle Dhexe

+0.33 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3318th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.3625th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction37%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1518th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.7 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Bay

+0.42 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4219th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1617th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction27%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.974th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.5 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Shabelle Hoose

+0.56 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5618th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8723rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction45%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1817th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Gedo

+0.79 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0316th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction22%11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.885th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.4 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Banadir

+1.42 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.4226th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+2.2826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction40%19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1915th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture is not defined for this region at this point in the season.
Temperature25.6 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com