Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Syrian Arab Republic

Syrian Arab Republic is 21st most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 1st steepest fall of 26, but from the 2nd highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 13 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Syrian Arab Republic is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 13 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 13 regions at their own record

Syrian Arab Republic: 0.21 standard deviations below normal

Hassakeh. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dara. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Homs. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dayr_Az_Zor. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hama. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lattakia. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Damascus. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Aleppo. 5th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Idleb. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tartous. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Al_Qunaytirah. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Raqqa. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026As_Suweida. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 13 regions at their own record

Syrian Arab Republic: 10% of crop water need met, normally 7%

Hassakeh. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dara. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Homs. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dayr_Az_Zor. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hama. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lattakia. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Damascus. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Aleppo. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Idleb. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tartous. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Al_Qunaytirah. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Raqqa. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026As_Suweida. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 13 regions at their own record

Syrian Arab Republic: 0.88 standard deviations above normal

Hassakeh. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dara. 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Homs. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Dayr_Az_Zor. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Hama. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Lattakia. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Damascus. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Aleppo. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Idleb. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tartous. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Al_Qunaytirah. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Raqqa. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026As_Suweida. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 14th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 13
Vegetation, current0of 13
Water satisfaction0of 13
Rainfall, 3-month0of 13
Temperature0of 13

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

21st worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 21st most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, while water satisfaction and rainfall are in their best third.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.0614th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.259th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction10%26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.9724th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature30.0 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Syrian Arab Republic, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterHassakehDaraDayr_Az_ZorHomsHamaLattakiaIdlebDamascusAleppoTartousAl_QunaytirahRaqqaAs_Suweida

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Hassakeh

-0.60 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.606th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.775th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction3%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7719th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature32.6 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Dara

-0.57 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.578th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.4910th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction1%15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1916th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.3 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Dayr_Az_Zor

-0.38 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.3810th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.489th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction2%26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.9524th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature34.5 °C6th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Homs

-0.37 8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.378th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.199th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction11%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.4524th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.1 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Hama

-0.01 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.0113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.1213th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction12%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.7922nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.6 °C9th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Lattakia

+0.05 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0516th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1015th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction20%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.8123rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.9 °C9th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Idleb

+0.20 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2021st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4422nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction17%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.0823rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.0 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Damascus

+0.28 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2819th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0715th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction14%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2420th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.2 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Aleppo

+0.39 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.3921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.375th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction19%26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.4924th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.4 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Tartous

+0.76 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7621st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4620th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction21%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.2824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature26.9 °C7th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Al_Qunaytirah

+0.79 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7924th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7824th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3914th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature27.5 °C8th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Raqqa

+0.81 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8125th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5224th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction8%26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.5123rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature31.8 °C13th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

As_Suweida

+2.41 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+2.4126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8924th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction15%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.6110th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature25.0 °C15th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com