Crops · dekad 2026-10-21

U.K. of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

England is 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, and rose over this window, ranking 24th of 26 by fall steepness, from the 24th highest starting level of those 26. This page leads with England because the UK figure is an unweighted mean across its 4 crop regions, and England holds almost all the cropland. Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland each count equally in that average whatever their area, so the national number is not England slightly diluted.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 4
Vegetation, current0of 4
Water satisfaction2of 4
Rainfall, 3-month0of 4
Temperature0of 4

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balancealready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

Nothing we can show. The driver is not identified here. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 25 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

15th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 15th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in the middle of its range, while water satisfaction is in their worst third and rainfall is in mid-range.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative-0.1610th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.2026th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction81%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1415th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature9.1 °C18th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 37 of the 238 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in six. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of U.K. of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterWalesEnglandNorthern IrelandScotland

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Wales

-0.66 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.664th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.2726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction65%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1616th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature10.3 °C14th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

England

-0.44 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.444th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6725th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction66%lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.2816th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature10.3 °C16th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Northern Ireland

+0.21 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2116th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.5726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction97%4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.0612th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature8.5 °C19th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Scotland

+0.27 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2721st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.2826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction96%8th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1912th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 2 dekads behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature7.5 °C17th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com