Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan is 25th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 8th steepest fall of 26, but from the 1st highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 14 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Uzbekistan is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 14 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 14 regions at their own record

Uzbekistan: 0.53 standard deviations above normal

Tashkent city. 4th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Karakalpakstan. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Andijan. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bukhara. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Fergana. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jizzakh. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kashkadarya. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Khorezm. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Namangan. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Navoiy. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Samarkand. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sirdarya. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Surkhandarya. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tashkent. 15th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 14 regions at their own record

Uzbekistan: 16% of crop water need met, normally 14%

Tashkent city. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Karakalpakstan. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Andijan. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bukhara. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Fergana. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jizzakh. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kashkadarya. 14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Khorezm. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Namangan. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Navoiy. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Samarkand. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sirdarya. 20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Surkhandarya. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tashkent. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 14 regions at their own record

Uzbekistan: 1.99 standard deviations above normal

Tashkent city. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Karakalpakstan. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Andijan. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Bukhara. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Fergana. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Jizzakh. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Kashkadarya. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Khorezm. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Namangan. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Navoiy. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Samarkand. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Sirdarya. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Surkhandarya. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Tashkent. 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 26th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 14
Vegetation, current0of 14
Water satisfaction0of 14
Rainfall, 3-month0of 14
Temperature12of 14

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balancealready elevated when this window opens, so nothing here shows when it began
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

Nothing we can show. The driver is not identified here. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

25th worst of 26 years at this point in the season

The 25th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together

202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, as are water satisfaction and rainfall.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+1.2326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5425th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction16%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.9525th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature31.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Uzbekistan, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterTashkent citySurkhandaryaKarakalpakstanTashkentNavoiyAndijanKashkadaryaJizzakhKhorezmSirdaryaNamanganFerganaBukharaSamarkand

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Tashkent city

-0.53 6th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.536th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.744th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction25%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.0124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature31.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Surkhandarya

+0.76 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7626th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4121st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction9%17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.8125th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature32.2 °C2nd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Karakalpakstan

+0.86 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.8625th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2519th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction6%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.9425th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature32.0 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Tashkent

+0.96 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.9626th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0815th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction25%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.8624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature30.0 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Andijan

+1.08 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.0826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.6425th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction18%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.4926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature30.1 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Kashkadarya

+1.25 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.2526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4420th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction17%14th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.9424th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature31.7 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Jizzakh

+1.29 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.2926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction21%19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.9325th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.4 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Khorezm

+1.41 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.4126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.4024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature33.4 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Sirdarya

+1.43 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.4326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.2426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction20%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.9724th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature30.6 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Namangan

+1.45 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.4526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5120th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction18%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.3925th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature28.7 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Fergana

+1.48 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.4826th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.8825th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction16%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.2725th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature30.9 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Bukhara

+1.57 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.5726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2719th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction9%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+1.7624th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature34.5 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Samarkand

+1.67 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.6726th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.7024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction22%20th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+2.1024th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature29.8 °Chighest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com