Crops · dekad 2026-09-01

Zambia

2 of 10 crop regions in Zambia are at their worst on record for this point in the season. Its highest in any previous year was 3, on a recent average of 0.33.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure2of 10
Vegetation, current1of 10
Water satisfaction0of 10
Rainfall, 3-month4of 4
Temperature0of 10

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 25 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

11th worst (joint) of 26 years at this point in the season

The joint 11th most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together, level with 2008 and 2019

20082019202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, while water satisfaction is in their best third and rainfall is in their worst third.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.2320th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0913th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction18%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.37lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.0 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 66 of the 440 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in seven. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Zambia, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterNorth-WesternLuapulaNorthernMuchigaWesternLusakaSouthernCopperbeltCentralEastern

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

North-Western

-2.10 lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-2.10lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-2.072nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction10%19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.05lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.7 °C10th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Luapula

-1.46 lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-1.46lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.50lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction14%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.46lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature23.9 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Northern

-1.10 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-1.102nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.0714th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction16%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedFewer than 20 comparable years of rainfall, 3-month at this dekad.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature21.9 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Muchiga

-0.34 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.3410th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.4510th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction10%19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.25lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature21.3 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Western

-0.21 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative-0.2113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+1.0526th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction11%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedFewer than 20 comparable years of rainfall, 3-month at this dekad.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.7 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Lusaka

+0.01 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.0113th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.2121st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction4%7th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedFewer than 20 comparable years of rainfall, 3-month at this dekad.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.0 °C3rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Southern

+0.14 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1413th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.4819th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction9%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedFewer than 20 comparable years of rainfall, 3-month at this dekad.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature24.0 °C4th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Copperbelt

+0.21 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2118th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0412th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction5%13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedFewer than 20 comparable years of rainfall, 3-month at this dekad.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature22.9 °C11th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Central

+0.49 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4923rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5324th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction1%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-monthnot reportedFewer than 20 comparable years of rainfall, 3-month at this dekad.
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature22.5 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Eastern

+0.68 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6819th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-1.073rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction49%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-5.00lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature22.5 °C5th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com