Crops · dekad 2026-08-11

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe is 23rd most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, and 1st steepest fall of 26, but from the 1st highest starting level of those 26, so it is not a record fall once that is accounted for. None of its 8 crop regions is at a record low on the measure that adds up the whole season, marked below, which is also the slowest of them to move.

No crop region in Zimbabwe is at its worst in 26 years for this point in the season.

Three instruments, 8 regions, one day. Each region against its own 26 years, never against another region.

Vegetation, current

0 of 8 regions at their own record

Zimbabwe: 0.08 standard deviations above normal

Mashonaland C.. 9th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mashonaland West. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mashonaland East. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Masvingo. 3rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Manicaland. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matabeleland N.. 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matabeleland S.. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Midlands. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Water satisfaction

0 of 8 regions at their own record

Zimbabwe: 26% of crop water need met, normally 21%

Mashonaland C.. 18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mashonaland West. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mashonaland East. 10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Masvingo. 25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Manicaland. 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matabeleland N.. 22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matabeleland S.. 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Midlands. 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Rainfall, 3-month

0 of 8 regions at their own record

Zimbabwe: 0.48 standard deviations below normal

Mashonaland C.. 13th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mashonaland West. 17th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Mashonaland East. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Masvingo. 12th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Manicaland. 11th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matabeleland N.. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Matabeleland S.. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026Midlands. 2nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Colour
at this region's normalfar below
Outline
A heavy outline is that region's worst in 26 years. Different facts: a region can be dark without an outline, meaning far from normal but it has been worse, or outlined without being darkest, a record but a narrow one.
One scale, three instruments
Every panel saturates at 2.5 standard deviations below that region's own normal, so a colour means the same distance-from-normal on all three. It does not mean the same consequence: these measure different things and move at different speeds. The figures under each heading stay in the instrument's own units.

A fourth instrument is not shown here. Cumulative vegetation, the crop-outcome measure closest to yield, reads 26th of 26 for this country with no region at a record. It integrates from the start of the season, so it is structurally the last to move and reads calmest exactly when a fast deterioration is under way. It is left off the panels to keep three maps comparable in kind; it is on the page in full below.

Vegetation, cumulativethe harvest measure0of 8
Vegetation, current0of 8
Water satisfaction0of 8
Rainfall, 3-month0of 8
Temperature0of 8

What moved, and when

Each square is one dekad, and its shade shows how many of this country’s crop regions stood at their own worst on record for that point in the season. Rows are ordered by how much time each instrument summarises, shortest first, because a shorter window can move sooner. That order is fixed and is the same on every country page.

Vegetation, currentthis dekad
Soil moisturethis dekad
Temperaturethis dekad
Rainfall, 3-monththe past 3 months
Vegetation, cumulativethe season so far, from sowing
Water satisfactionthe season so far, as a water balance
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
none at a recordone regionfewer than a thirda third to three quartersmost or alltoo few regions reporting to saynot reported
What connects these rows

The driver is water. This section says what moved and when. It never says because.

These 23 dekads were picked rather than derived. A shorter window changes which peak looks like the first, and a sequence visible inside a window may not exist outside it.

How bad is it, against this country’s own record

Five instruments read together our combination, not an observation

23rd worst (joint) of 26 years at this point in the season

The joint 23rd most stressed of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026, across 5 instruments read together, level with 2021

2021202620012026

What the instruments say

The canopy is in its best third, while water satisfaction is in their best third and rainfall is in their worst third.

Each track is that instrument’s own 26 years, worst on the left.

Vegetation, cumulative+0.5426th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0916th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction26%24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.545th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.4 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Five instruments, each against its own 26 years for this point in the season. They are shown together because they can disagree: a region can sit at a record low on vegetation while water or rainfall sits in its best third. 38 of the 196 regions at a record low on current vegetation have water or rainfall sitting in its own best third at the same moment, about one in five. This page reports where each one sits and does not say what caused what.

Every region of Zimbabwe, worst to least

Each bar is the full spread of that region’s previous 25 years at this point in the season. The dot is this year. A dot at the left of a wide bar and a dot at the left of a narrow bar are different findings, which is why the history is drawn rather than described.

its normalworsebetterMashonaland C.Mashonaland WestMasvingoMashonaland EastManicalandMatabeleland N.MidlandsMatabeleland S.

Regions in colour are at their worst on record. The rest are placed on the same scale so a single deep region inside an otherwise ordinary country reads differently from a country where the whole distribution has moved.

Mashonaland C.

+0.14 16th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.1416th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.189th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction20%18th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.1013th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.7 °C23rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Mashonaland West

+0.23 19th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.2319th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.1317th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction13%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month+0.1017th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.9 °C23rd highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Masvingo

+0.41 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4121st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current-0.703rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction52%25th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3812th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature17.3 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Mashonaland East

+0.49 21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.4921st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3722nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction18%10th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.3912th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature14.5 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Manicaland

+0.58 23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.5823rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.0112th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction37%23rd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-0.2311th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature16.6 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Matabeleland N.

+0.61 24th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.6124th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.3219th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction15%22nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.502nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature15.9 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Midlands

+0.79 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+0.7926th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.5425th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction15%21st lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.212nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature15.9 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

Matabeleland S.

+1.63 26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

Vegetation here usually tracks water availability.

20012026
Vegetation, cumulative+1.6326th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Vegetation, current+0.9126th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Water satisfaction26%26th lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Rainfall, 3-month-1.182nd lowest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026
Soil moisturenot reportedSoil moisture has not reported for this dekad. Its newest observation is 1 dekad behind the crop-outcome instrument.
Temperature15.5 °C26th highest of 26 observations for this point in the season, 2001-2026

same dekad, 2001-2025

This measurement is of the crop canopy and not of what stressed it: heat, drought, disease and late planting are not separable here, which is why no claim on this page names a cause.

Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Crops. thelongswell.com