Republic of Serbia · 5 to 11 August
Republic of Serbia had its highest fire week for this point in the year since 2012
Two questions, side by side. How bad was this week, measured against every week like it. How bad is the year, measured against every season on record. Different instruments, different units, and one of them is not finished.
This week · 5 to 11 August
3.8×
active-fire detections against the same-week
mean of 111, 2012 to 2025
NASA FIRMS SNPP VIIRS, daily, 375 m
Cleared the anomaly gate for this week. The multiple rests on a thin baseline, so the rank is the sturdier reading. Standardised anomaly z = +5.2
Against the same week, every year
Each year’s detections in the same window of the year, same sensor throughout.
The seven days
7 of 7 days cleared one seventh of a normal week. The peak, 114 on 8 August, is 7 times that line.
This year · since 1 January
6,822 ha
burnt area mapped, 1.4×
the average for this point in the year
EFFIS mapped perimeters, weekly, week 31,
through 2026-08-05
Cumulative, every season since 2006
Only this year carries hue; every grey line is one earlier season accumulating from January. The record season, 2024, reached 38,954 ha.
Week by week, 2026 so far
Week by week rather than cumulative, so a single heavy week is visible as one. The cell runs to week 52: 21 weeks of this season have not happened yet.
What this is
Two measurements of the same fire season at two time scales. The multiple is a rate: how much fire activity satellites detected this week against what this week normally looks like. The hectare figure is a stock: how much land has been mapped as burnt since January. A country can have an unremarkable week and still be having a record year, and the reverse is also true.
What this is not
Not one number at two zoom levels. The two figures come from different instruments with different latencies, and they are not convertible into each other. Not an attribution: fire seasons are driven by heat, drought, wind and land use, and the tag on this page states what is and is not established for this event. Not a forecast of where the season ends.
Baseline
Weekly multiple: same-week mean, 2012 to 2025.Cumulative: complete seasons, 2006 to 2025.
Instruments
NASA FIRMS SNPP VIIRSthermal anomaly counts, daily, 375 m
EFFIS burnt area
mapped perimeters, weekly. Area lands in the week it is mapped, which need not be the week it burned.
Revision
Mapped area for recent weeks rises as perimeters are completed, and a week’s area may be mapped after the week it burned. Published figures are not edited in place; corrections run forward.The same week elsewhere
5.3xGeorgiaWell clear of its 2016 record week4.5xSpainWell clear of its 2015 record weeknot ENSO-linked3.9xCubaWell clear of its 2015 record week