Checked for the week of 19 to 25 September: this country did not clear the anomaly gate, so no new assessment was published. The figures below are from the last week it did, and are not current.

Libya · 15 to 21 August

Libya had its highest fire week for this point in the year, of 15 compared

Two questions, side by side. How bad was this week, measured against every week like it. How bad is the year, measured against every season on record. Different instruments, different units, and one of them is not finished.

This week · 15 to 21 August

1.6×

active-fire detections against the same-week mean of 851, 2012 to 2025
NASA FIRMS SNPP VIIRS, daily, 375 m
Cleared the anomaly gate for this week. Standardised anomaly z = +2.1

Against the same week, every year

same-week mean 851201220261,394

Each year’s detections in the same window of the year, same sensor throughout.

The seven days

15161718192021one seventh of a normal week, 122

7 of 7 days cleared one seventh of a normal week. The peak, 300 on 16 August, is 2 times that line.

This year

No mapped burnt-area series is published for this country, so only the detection instrument appears here. The two are never converted into one another.

What this is

Two measurements of the same fire season at two time scales. The multiple is a rate: how much fire activity satellites detected this week against what this week normally looks like. The hectare figure is a stock: how much land has been mapped as burnt since January. A country can have an unremarkable week and still be having a record year, and the reverse is also true.

What this is not

Not one number at two zoom levels. The two figures come from different instruments with different latencies, and they are not convertible into each other. Not an attribution: fire seasons are driven by heat, drought, wind and land use, and the tag on this page states what is and is not established for this event. Not a forecast of where the season ends.

Baseline

Weekly multiple: same-week mean, 2012 to 2025.

Instruments

NASA FIRMS SNPP VIIRS
thermal anomaly counts, daily, 375 m

Revision

Detection counts are whole UTC days and are not revised. Published figures are not edited in place.

The same week elsewhere

12.2xCuba6.8x its previous record week7.6xRepublic of Serbia2.8x its previous record week5.6xPapua New GuineaWell clear of its 2015 record week
Kristjan Lepik (2026). The Long Swell, Fires. thelongswell.com Libya · week